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#Yen to uad update

Nevertheless, USD/JPY cleared the November 2017 high (114.74) as it broke out of a bull flag formation, with the exchange rate taking out the March 2017 high (115.50) in November even as the RSI failed to push into overbought territory.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) showed a similar dynamic as it pushed into overbought territory for the first time since the first quarter of 2021, but a textbook sell signal materialized in October as the oscillator fell back from overbought territory to slip below 70.

The broader outlook for USD/JPY remains constructive as it trades to fresh yearly highs throughout the second half of 2021, with the 200-Day SMA ( 110.47 ) indicating a similar dynamic as it retains the positive slope from earlier this year.

With that said, USD/JPY may exhibit a bullish trend throughout the remainder of the year amid the diverging paths between the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and Bank of Japan (BoJ), and the decline from the yearly high (115.52) may turn out to be a near-term correction in the exchange rate as it appears to be defending the November low (112.53). The decline in net-long position comes as USD/JPY trades near the November low (112.53), while the sharp drop in net-short interest has helped to alleviate the crowding behavior as 31.65% of traders were net-long the pair last week.

The number of traders net-long is 8.33% higher than yesterday and 2.29% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 1.13% lower than yesterday and 30.37% lower from last week. The IG Client Sentiment report shows 40.57% of traders are currently net-long USD/JPY, with the ratio of traders short to long standing at 1.46 to 1. Until then, the monthly opening range is in focus for USD/JPY as it attempts to defend the November low (112.53), but a larger pullback in the exchange rate may continue to alleviate the tilt in retail sentiment like the behavior seen earlier this year.

#Yen to uad update

Nevertheless, the NFP report may generate a bullish reaction in USD/JPY as the update is expected to show the US economy adding 550K jobs in November while the Unemployment Rate is seen narrowing to 4.5% from 4.6% during the same period.Įvidence of a stronger labor market may put pressure on the Federal Reserve to adjust its exit strategy as Chairman Jerome Powell pledges to “ use our tools to make sure that higher inflation does not become entrenched ,” and it remains to be seen if the central bank will forecast a steeper path for the Fed funds rate as officials are slated to update the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) at their next interest rate decision on December 15. USD/JPY Rate Attempts to Defend November Low Ahead of US NFP ReportĪ near-term correction appears to be unfolding in USD/ JPY after it cleared the March 2017 high (115.50), with the decline from the yearly high (115.52) largely tracking the weakness in longer-dated US Treasury yields as the Omicron variant of COVID-19 clouds the outlook for the global economy.